None of it matters if we lose Sat - we would need a run to the ACCT Finals that isn’t happening.
A W in Winston-Salem gets us to 10-8 in the ACC.
With SMU’s slide, I’m actually rooting for Fla State AND UVA v Va Tech. Losses by SMU and the Hokies would leave them both 8-10 in conference, and would give Cal a 2-game lead, the kind of separation that is needed to be the 8th ACC team Dancing.
A road W for SMU and/or Va Tech likely punches their Dance ticket - we can’t have that.
wouldn't we want smu to win, as that would push them to play us in the first round game? would make it an opportunity to beat a bubble team twice, along with another q1 win vs playing fsu which would be q2
Perhaps if teams like Ohio State, TCU, Mizzou & VCU hadn’t have played their way in, which they all seem to have done. Bid stealers could ruin it of course, but you gotta think only 1 of the ACC bubbles are Dancing, if that.
Given SMU’s slide, IMO our only path is IF the ACC gets 8, Cal has to be the 8th team. A W by SMU or Va Tech tomorrow locks them up & likely shuts the door on Cal. But a Cal win & L’s by the other 2 means a 2-game gap.
ESPN has 30 locks and 9 "should be ins". Six of those will get auto-bids (ACC, B1G, big12, sec, Big East, WCC). So that means there's four more at-large spots.
I think TCU is solidly in. I think Texas A&M is also in, as they'll be 10-8 in the SEC after beating LSU. So two more spots.
Indiana will have a losing record in the B1G (9-11) after losing @Ohio State on Saturday.
Cincinnati will end 9-9 in the big12 after losing @ TCU on Saturday, and they'll fall short of the magic 20 wins.
Auburn will lose at Alabama on Saturday so they'll finish 7-11 in the SEC and 16-15 overall. I don't know why they're even considered bubble.
If SMU loses at FSU on Saturday (Oh please, oh please, oh please), they will have lost their final 4 games to finish 8-10 in the ACC and they'll be one win short of the magic 20 wins overall.
Same for Va. Tech - if they lose to Virginia on Saturday, they'll finish 8-10 in the ACC with 19 wins overall.
I tend to think Cal is already ahead of Seton Hall, Santa Clara, VCU, New Mexico, SDSU, and South Florida. And that's it for the legitimate bubble.
So this is a lot of math to arrive at the conclusion that WE AIN'T DEAD YET! Obviously need to win at Wake. Let's go, boys!
Shoot to get hot. Shoot to stay hot.
- Ricky Kreklow, but also me
Also Richard Midgley to me at a Cal basketball camp in 2003
They wouldn’t have given him knighthood if he didn’t know what he was talking about
1 down.
2 to go.
SMU is collapsing, which is an interesting wrinkle.
They can't sustain it without Edwards. It's an 8 bid league and we're right there. Gotta close strong
Need UVA to take down the Hokies in Charlottesville Saturday in the worst way while we TCOB at Wake.
Be a Stanford fan for one day and root for them to beat NC State.if we tie only with them at 10-8 we may sneak into #7 seed.
So we want
A) Bear Wake Forest
B) SMU to beat Floridas State
?
IMO, BB:
A) Cal beats Wake
B) UVA beats Va Tech
C) FSU beats SMU
None of it matters if we lose Sat - we would need a run to the ACCT Finals that isn’t happening.
A W in Winston-Salem gets us to 10-8 in the ACC.
With SMU’s slide, I’m actually rooting for Fla State AND UVA v Va Tech. Losses by SMU and the Hokies would leave them both 8-10 in conference, and would give Cal a 2-game lead, the kind of separation that is needed to be the 8th ACC team Dancing.
A road W for SMU and/or Va Tech likely punches their Dance ticket - we can’t have that.
wouldn't we want smu to win, as that would push them to play us in the first round game? would make it an opportunity to beat a bubble team twice, along with another q1 win vs playing fsu which would be q2
Perhaps if teams like Ohio State, TCU, Mizzou & VCU hadn’t have played their way in, which they all seem to have done. Bid stealers could ruin it of course, but you gotta think only 1 of the ACC bubbles are Dancing, if that.
Given SMU’s slide, IMO our only path is IF the ACC gets 8, Cal has to be the 8th team. A W by SMU or Va Tech tomorrow locks them up & likely shuts the door on Cal. But a Cal win & L’s by the other 2 means a 2-game gap.
ACC is not getting 9.
need SMU to lose. Cal's best shot is to be considered the 8th team from the ACC, so ahead of SMU and Va Tech.
For the near term...
Not much on the calendar tonight (Thursday) for the bubble. South Florida is an emergent bubble team and they're at Memphis, but that's about it.
Friday, we're rooting against Seton Hall vs. St. John's, against VCU @ Dayton, and against SDSU vs. UNLV.
I'd argue that Cal is above all of these teams on the bubble as of right now, but let's hope they all lose to bury the threat.
Bear’s March Madness is already underway…and they should play with this mentality.
Pippen held scoreless? That's unsettling. Father may be unhappy.
Take the W! Ames is truly amazing at getting to the rim and finishing. Pippen had a horrible game.
Roll on!
37 at-large spots.
ESPN has 30 locks and 9 "should be ins". Six of those will get auto-bids (ACC, B1G, big12, sec, Big East, WCC). So that means there's four more at-large spots.
I think TCU is solidly in. I think Texas A&M is also in, as they'll be 10-8 in the SEC after beating LSU. So two more spots.
Indiana will have a losing record in the B1G (9-11) after losing @Ohio State on Saturday.
Cincinnati will end 9-9 in the big12 after losing @ TCU on Saturday, and they'll fall short of the magic 20 wins.
Auburn will lose at Alabama on Saturday so they'll finish 7-11 in the SEC and 16-15 overall. I don't know why they're even considered bubble.
If SMU loses at FSU on Saturday (Oh please, oh please, oh please), they will have lost their final 4 games to finish 8-10 in the ACC and they'll be one win short of the magic 20 wins overall.
Same for Va. Tech - if they lose to Virginia on Saturday, they'll finish 8-10 in the ACC with 19 wins overall.
I tend to think Cal is already ahead of Seton Hall, Santa Clara, VCU, New Mexico, SDSU, and South Florida. And that's it for the legitimate bubble.
So this is a lot of math to arrive at the conclusion that WE AIN'T DEAD YET! Obviously need to win at Wake. Let's go, boys!