LOL...I was thinking the exact opposite and putting all of my net worth on Washington to cover the points. If you look at the worst losses of the Wilcox era - 38-7 to Washington in 2017; 37-7 to UCLA in 2018; 35-0 to Utah in 2018; 42-14 to UCLA in 2021; and 38-10 to Oregon State last year; I think you could make the argument that this Washington team is better than all of the above teams that laid that kind of licking on the Bears. Of course my current thinking is heavily influenced by the last two stink bombs that Cal laid against Auburn and Idaho.
I'll take the Bears to cover if not win outright. But there's that factoid that CALIFORNIA has not beaten a Top 10 ranked team on the road since 19- -?
Went all the way back to 1930 when AP poll was either not listed in the records, or didn't exist. Our only top 10 road win EVER was against #10 Indiana in 1969 under Ray Wilsey with Dave Penhall at QB.
We tied #6 USC in 1974 under Roger Theder with Bartkowski at QB.
If Wilcox starts the game with the bend but don't break defensive strategy it came out with against Idaho, it could be a three touchdown deficit before anyone blinks. Michael Penix sees everyone on the field, which might explain why one of his tight ends had two touchdown catches in the first half against Michigan State. Jack Endries has three catches in three games. No other tight end for Cal has caught a pass so far this year.
Sports betting and gambling in general, including lotteries, are a form of cancer on our society; best to avoid and advise our youth to do so, also. That said, it is interesting how often the oddsmakers are correct. What is it, something like 90 percent over time?
While I don't disagree altogether, I enjoy betting in small increments and have made incremental amounts doing it. It's pretty fun and I'm able to keep it under control, i.e. not making new deposits since I started. But I get it, sports betting makes college football (even) more susceptible to being corrupted. And to ruin people's lives if they become addicted.
Yes, it’s healthy and fun when able to be controlled. Like myriad other temptations out there, it can be a slippery slope for manipulation and misery. Vigilance, education, conversation, empathy and action can go a long way toward combatting those. Advance Ursa!
Welp. We covered the spread with Auburn, where the oddsmakers favored Auburn by 4.5, so, Ha, ha, oddsmakers, you were wrong....but, dang, that was close. 😳
Is it true that if 98% of the bets are on UW, does it follow that the spread may increase to try to even out the betting distribution? Is there any relationship between betting distribution and the spread (or odds)? I’m thinking of betting on a game for the first time EVER!!!
SO, OK.... THE HANDWRITING IS ON THE WALL, IF YOU'D READ MY PREVIOUS TAKE ON THIS GAME YOU'D UNDERSTOOD THERE WERE SEVERAL CHANGES IN COACH CALLS NECESSARY TO TRY TO JJUST STAY ALIVE. WHAT..YOU DIDN;T READ AND HEED ? OH WELL. SO BEIT... CAL IS GOING TO GET HURT. THE BEST WE CAN HOPE OR IS A LOUSY MORAL VICTORY! GERBEAR
Go Bears! I'll be there shoutin' !!!!
I think I like Cal to cover the spread, BTW.....
My gut says 21 seems way too high. So I did a bit of looking around, trying to find actual data to justify what my gut says.
I couldn't find any.
Nevertheless, 21 is way too high. Take all your cash, get a second mortgage, borrow against your 401k and 529's, and bet on Cal.
LOL...I was thinking the exact opposite and putting all of my net worth on Washington to cover the points. If you look at the worst losses of the Wilcox era - 38-7 to Washington in 2017; 37-7 to UCLA in 2018; 35-0 to Utah in 2018; 42-14 to UCLA in 2021; and 38-10 to Oregon State last year; I think you could make the argument that this Washington team is better than all of the above teams that laid that kind of licking on the Bears. Of course my current thinking is heavily influenced by the last two stink bombs that Cal laid against Auburn and Idaho.
well one of us will be proven a genius
a 25-3 loss would make for a conundrum and a half
I'll take the Bears to cover if not win outright. But there's that factoid that CALIFORNIA has not beaten a Top 10 ranked team on the road since 19- -?
I've never seen Cal in the 90s, but the closest was beating #11 Oregon in 2007.
Went all the way back to 1930 when AP poll was either not listed in the records, or didn't exist. Our only top 10 road win EVER was against #10 Indiana in 1969 under Ray Wilsey with Dave Penhall at QB.
We tied #6 USC in 1974 under Roger Theder with Bartkowski at QB.
So we might do it in again 93 years later
If Wilcox starts the game with the bend but don't break defensive strategy it came out with against Idaho, it could be a three touchdown deficit before anyone blinks. Michael Penix sees everyone on the field, which might explain why one of his tight ends had two touchdown catches in the first half against Michigan State. Jack Endries has three catches in three games. No other tight end for Cal has caught a pass so far this year.
What about Trond Grizzell?
He's WR
Wow. He’s built like a TE.
Sports betting and gambling in general, including lotteries, are a form of cancer on our society; best to avoid and advise our youth to do so, also. That said, it is interesting how often the oddsmakers are correct. What is it, something like 90 percent over time?
While I don't disagree altogether, I enjoy betting in small increments and have made incremental amounts doing it. It's pretty fun and I'm able to keep it under control, i.e. not making new deposits since I started. But I get it, sports betting makes college football (even) more susceptible to being corrupted. And to ruin people's lives if they become addicted.
Yes, it’s healthy and fun when able to be controlled. Like myriad other temptations out there, it can be a slippery slope for manipulation and misery. Vigilance, education, conversation, empathy and action can go a long way toward combatting those. Advance Ursa!
Welp. We covered the spread with Auburn, where the oddsmakers favored Auburn by 4.5, so, Ha, ha, oddsmakers, you were wrong....but, dang, that was close. 😳
Is it true that if 98% of the bets are on UW, does it follow that the spread may increase to try to even out the betting distribution? Is there any relationship between betting distribution and the spread (or odds)? I’m thinking of betting on a game for the first time EVER!!!
Take the points, take a gamble on the moneyline (just for fun, not for your mortgage) and take the under.
SO, OK.... THE HANDWRITING IS ON THE WALL, IF YOU'D READ MY PREVIOUS TAKE ON THIS GAME YOU'D UNDERSTOOD THERE WERE SEVERAL CHANGES IN COACH CALLS NECESSARY TO TRY TO JJUST STAY ALIVE. WHAT..YOU DIDN;T READ AND HEED ? OH WELL. SO BEIT... CAL IS GOING TO GET HURT. THE BEST WE CAN HOPE OR IS A LOUSY MORAL VICTORY! GERBEAR