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WEATHER

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Feels like the Peninsula has been under an excessive heat warning since Labor Day. I keep looking north for the fog to roll over the hills but nada. Seriously considering installing AC.

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Forecast for 102 'near record highs' today. been that way for most of a week.

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Sick of the heat. It's been a week here in Berkeley. Four days in the nineties. F*ck global warming.

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These are the weeks when I'm glad I had AC put in my house a few years ago.

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It'll cool off soon. This summer has been actually pretty mild considering we've only had a handful of days that have been 90+ degrees. Most summers in Berkeley have a solid 10-15 days of 90+ degree weather.

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come move to Burlington VT with us. that is currently in 1st place in climate friendly retirement destinations

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I spent the better part of four week over two summers backpacking through Vermont. I can remember torrential rains, but I also remember beautiful, calm weather. Perfect days.

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I do like Vermont.

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It is clear, 82 degree and relatively dry. This is like the 1% of the year that the South is more comfortable than the Bay Area.

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Hurricane Milton explodes from a Category 1 to Category 5 within half a day. It is scheduled to weaken to a Cat 4 then hit somewhere in Florida. And because it's come basically straight in from west-to-east, the storm surge will be higher than Helene. NOAA looking at 12 foot surge for areas south of landfall. It is unclear exactly where it will land, but the Tampa Area looks like a median scenario, which would devastate the areas south of there. If you are near the coast from Tampa to Coral Gables along the coast, now is the time to prepare for an imminent evacuation.

https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/imagery/hurricanes/live-hurricane-tracker

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I spoke too soon. The evacuation order has been given for A, B, and C zones for the counties south of Tampa. C-zones are 500 year flood levels and would be - for example, partway into central Bradenton. Everything in that area is about 8 feet tall along the coasts, so a 12 foot surge will threaten everything that is directly on the coast.

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One of my colleagues lives on Longboat Key, about an hour south of Tampa. They are busy today moving everything on their first floor up to their second floor, and then departing in the morning. They fully expect that their entire first floor will be wiped out. Really rough.

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Oh brutal.

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Sunny and nice. Probably the last 80+ degree day of the year, as temps are forecast to decline the rest of the week as fall deepens.

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About 96 which is the last day for almost a week of mid 90s to low 100s in the East Bay.

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It's been the "last day" every damn day since Friday. I hope this one really is. My walls are emitting heat like a furnace.

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I hear that. We have a similar thing going on at Casa de Slug. And the walls continue to stay warm for a few days after, too.

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my mom was saying it was 100+ in the south bay (sunnyvale) last few days

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Yeah it's been brutal all around the bay.

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sunny and mid-60's all week.

no hurricanes or anything around NYC

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7Author

ELSEWHERE IN COLLEGE

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[ex-PAC] ASU pips Kansas 35-31, Arizona loses to Texas Tech 28-22, #6 Oregon beats Michigan State 31-10, UCLA loses to #7 Penn State 27-11, UW upsets #10 Michigan 27-17, Minnesota upsets #11 USC, Oregon State squeaks past Colorado State in OT 39-31.

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7

traitor daughter and boyfriend w/ purple jacket rushed the field after UW beat Michigan. small consolation for losing last year - better than nothing

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[ACC] Syracuse beat #25 UNLV in Nevada, #15 Clemson beats FSU 29-13, SMU beats #22 Louisville 34-27, Virginia beats BC 24-14, undefeated Pitt beats the Fighting Mack Browns 34-24, Wake Forest upsets NC State 34-30 after Grayson McCall gets concussed in Q1, Virginia Tech beats Stanfurd 31-7, Rambling Wreck beats Duke 24-14

https://www.espn.com/college-football/scoreboard/_/week/6/year/2024/seasontype/2/group/1

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PRO

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NBA player sleeps with his teammate's mom

https://apnews.com/article/lebron-james-bronny-lakers-8df621655e008fbabd083febb4a524eb

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*snort*

Based on a box score thing I saw, it seems Brony isn't quite ready for the big time.

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I think we knew that in the middle of $C's season last year.

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Mets ... score a lot of runs in the late innings.

in this case the Phillies scored even more to tie up the series 1-1 heading back to NYC. we have tix to game 3, should be rockin'

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CAL

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Congratulations Dr. Gary Ruvkun (BS Biophysics - UC Berkeley 1973) for winning a Nobel Prize in Medicine. He is current a professor at some school in Cambridge MA

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/07/science/nobel-medicine-prize-discovery-microrna-victor-ambros-gary-ruvkun-intl/index.html

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So you're saying there won't be another NL parking sticker issued.

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NC State game is at 12:30

https://calbears.com/sports/football/schedule

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Bruh. Sports bars don't even open at 9:30 am. Looks like I'm drinking at home alone.

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12:30 Pacific, not Eastern. It's a home game.

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Are you in Hawaii? Because that 12:30 PST.

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Hurrah!

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Coach Bloesch was hanging out at the Glade with his family in the morning during the show.

I wanted to say hi (and tell him to roll out Mendoza more, but I guess I didn't need to tell him. That was the gameplan), but I couldn't reach him.

I also got to talk to Rope Coach. He was escorting Marahawn. I also got to say hi to Pat McAfee. He was so impressed by the turnout in Berkeley.

I commented after the game too, but I also got to meet Jeremy Ross. He was chillin' on Shattuck. I told him I still watch his highlights from college and pro days, told him I loved his returns. He told me he has a normal job now, but he was in athlete shape.

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There are so many people - the DBD included - that have called for Wilcox to be fired. I am a supporter of him. Yes, the defense collapsed. Yes, the offense went away from high-risk/high-reward plays and went to the run when we needed a successful run-game to win. But we didn't execute. We were literally two missed FG away from winning the FSU game. And we were literally one play, one call, one something away from winning the Miami game. It was so tantalizingly close and that's what makes people so angry. It is hard to win when your offensive and defensive lines are being smashed by some of the most physical lines in the country... and we are so close to winning despite that. We are not going to magically get a better offensive or defensive line by firing Wilcox. On the contrary, I think we'll get worse. I, for now, support Wilcox. I like him as a HC and the execution that he can control. He's not perfect, but for the amount of money, his loyalty, and reality of modern football - he's my guy.

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7

I don't get it. Two winning seasons in seven is cause enough to sack him. Also zero winning records in conference. The last two losses reflect poorly on him and are further evidence that he's not up to the job and he's not getting any better. I honestly can't imagine supporting him at this this point but Oski knows we're likely stuck with him for awhile.

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I also think you're right that Wilcox isn't up for the job. Would Knowlton hire a candidate who is? Would Cal attract a candidate who is up for the job? The last head coach we had who came close at all, was Jeff Tedford. Is there another Jeff Tedford available to Cal and do we have the culture that will attract such a candidate?

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In no profession that I know of does a person not up to the task hold onto a job because their employer is worried about finding a better replacement. Fire the person first and worry about a replacement second.

That said I do agree that we might not do any better and could do worse. But at this point I believe it worth the role of the dice. Maybe Knowlton being fired first would help.

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7

I largely agree with what you're saying. The thing is that in the realm of college football head coaches, continued employment is often dependent on revenue in the form of advertising dollars, donations, concessions, and attendance. And in game attendance is often the barometer of how well the other three measures do.

My comment about the employer, though, wasn't to suggest that the employer wouldn't want to move on hiring a replacement. My comment was to posit that the problem is the employer. Much like John Fisher is the problem with the A's.

We have a much bigger problem: the culture is the problem.

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You hit the nail on the proverbial head. You don't struggle for he better part of 70 years without it being mostly about institutional problems.

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Yes to all this, and I'd like to see a winning conference record sometime soon

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After this game, I'm staying away from the WFC football thread comments. I'll read the articles but avoiding the comments. Before the game I said I'd be happy if we had a chance to win on our last drive. After the game I wasn't because we were up 35-10 and blew it.

The D turtled and I think our D was gassed. I didn't check the stats but I would imagine Miami had a large time of possession advantage, on a hot night. Our O moved the ball in the 1st half because we had the 3 or 4 long pass plays where Miami probably blew coverage. The swing pass to JET on the left side, the 4th and 1 pass to Ott, the long pass to Trond on 1 on 1 coverage, and 1 or 2 passes to Endries. Taking those away, we didn't move the ball much at all. We certainly couldn't run worth shit.

Not sure if we just don't have good OL that can give Nando time to throw. The offensive play calling philosophy doesn't seem great. I want Wilcox to succeed but is the problem the OC? Not sure.

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Miami had 15 minutes more TOP. It is very unfortunate that after we hit that FG to go up by 25, we couldn't rely on some form of run game to kill the clock. This loss, for the first time, made me question Wilcox as our HC. Like you, I feel there is so much to like about JW and his fit for our program. Much of my frustration is how many ways we lose. We can hold a team to 14 and still lose because we squander so many trips to the red zone. We get up on a team by 25 in the second half, and still lose because we can't run a ball control offense even for one possession. Think about the difference a 4 or 5 minute possession sometime in the late 3rd early 4th Q would have provided our defense. Direct correlation between our ability to possess the ball during this critical juncture and performance of our D and it is just too bad we didn't give our D the chance here after they performed so well for the first 3 quarters.

I still really like JW but am so frustrated that having the opportunity to be 2-0 in our new conference and really setting the mark for this program, we are instead 0-2. Still, we should judge him on his body of work over the season, and so despite my frustration from Saturday night I hold hope that this season can still mark a change of direction in our new conference.

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The issue is that Wilcox keeps coming up on chances to get a big home win in front of a nice crowd and really get the fan base excited and catapult the program into relevancy, and he pretty much always delivers a deflating loss: 2019 vs. ASU (granted Garbers got hurt so that was bad luck), Auburn 2023, Miami 2024. The opportunity was there, but we let it slip away every time.

It's just been too many times now. Add to that his overall losing record against FBS opponents in his 8th year, and it's hard to see where he's going to change now.

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Your comments are super valid, but I have a response to consider. JW is a defensive guy. He was a DB at Oregon and the DC at Wisconsin, USC and Washington before he came to Cal. My uneducated understanding is that he does not enter the world of the offense beyond what is absolutely necessary for the HC to do and leaves the offensive strategy and playcalling to the OC. Does that make it right? No. My point is that we really haven't had the highest-quality offensive coaches possible, IMHO. They're all really great guys who run a clean program that we can be proud of, but they are being outcoached and outrecruited. It's the exact opposite of what we had when Sonny was our coach. I like to think that if we were able to keep Jake Spavital or hire someone of that ilk to be our OC, then I think that Saturday's game ends differently. The low-quality offense leads directly to our defense being gassed at the end. Miami ran almost double the number of plays that Cal did. In a game like Saturday's, we have to be able to sustain drives, especially at the end of the game. Our offense couldn't. Without a diverse, competent offense, we are only a fraction of a complete team. That doesn't cut it in the current landscape.

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7

I understand that point of consideration and I am not expecting him to run some brilliant form of spread or air raid offense. However, he is our HC, not our DC. As a HC with his background I expect him to run an offense complimentary to a team that is going to hold you to around two touchdowns per game. I don't know that he has ever achieved that in his time here. It is a bummer that Spavital left, but I am starting to question the decision to promote Bloesch as OC. It appears to be hurting our offense overall as well as causing our OLine to regress.

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After Spav left, didn't he make some comments about prior head coaches "meddling" with his game plans and being glad to be in a place where that isn't happening? Not hard to connect the dots and think he's talking about Wilcox. It's why our offense keeps showing the same tendencies no matter who the OC is. He's not just delegating it.

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You and I are EXACTLY in sync when it comes to Bloesch's promotion to OC. The offensive line sucked last year, but you promote the offensive line coach to OC? Not a great decision. And the OL still sucks this year. IIRC, though, the timing was late in the coaching carousel when 'Spav left to really find a competent replacement, so the choices might have been limited. Since about year 2 of Wilcox's tenure I have said that all we need is a COMPETENT (not great, not good) offense in order to win games. So far, we haven't had it.

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I still haven't seen a replay on the non-targeting hit on Nando, but from the jumbotron, it looked like the defender launched himself leading with his crown and hitting Nando in the head (the hitting in the head was hard to tell in stadium), but I thought launching and leading with the crown is targeting, regardless of making contact with the helmet.

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Oct 7·edited Oct 7

Someone posted a slowmo clip with the perfect angle and I assume refs also got to review the same clip. It was 100% targeting. There is a moment where defender, just before the hit, has the option to face up or face down, chooses to face down so that his crown is the first part to make contact. Also, if you look at his body angle and trajectory, it is a classic, launch-hit. There is no universe in which this is not targeting and the refs absolutely blew this call, even after having the opportunity to get it right.

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The ESPN announcers were all certain it was targeting. You can probably catch their discussion on youtube.

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there is not a single game recap that doesnt talk about the non-call and how Miami "escaped" with another win 2 wks in a row.

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Pretty much the entire college football Twitter world was complaining about this non-call when it happened. Yeah, there are a few who are trying to argue the call was correct or that it didn't matter because Cal collapsed anyway, but at least 90% were baffled by the call.

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Positives from Saturday- many non-Cal friends reached out to me during and after Game Day, letting me know they’d learned new things about Cal. So many social media commenters predicting Cal would get killed by Miami. SO MUCH GOOD from our national brand coverage and stout performance against a team with a ton of 4*s. Bit by bit the Bears are earning national respect. Seemed an impossible task at the start of last season. I’m taking these wins.

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Yesterday I started putting together a list of the top ten most agonizing defeats in my time as a California football fan. It got too depressing so I stopped. A few things I noted were that three games from the last two seasons (Saturday's game and last year's losses to U$C and Auburn) were strong candidates. As bad as Saturday was it wouldn't be in the top five. There were a lot of Big Games on the list. There were a lot of fourth quarter collapses. It was going to be hard job narrowing it down to ten. Most of them were home games. Maybe in the future I'll be up to compiling such a list.

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Sounds like you've detected a long term problem, one that predates Coach Wilcox by quite a bit. And that probably confirms the existence of a bigger problem in Berkeley.

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That’s a useful task, and I applaud you for attempting it.

Might be good to make, at the same time, a list of best wins. Or review that list if you already have it.

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I made such a list last season at the end of my series on this day in Memorial Stadium.

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Go Bears!!! We've got the Axe!

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OUR CRUMBLING DEMOCRACY

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DBD AV CLUB

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I needed some light/stupid entertainment. I watched 2023 relaunch of Kitchen Nightmares. I got about 3 episodes in and got bored of the act1: show the owners what a shitshow their restaurant actually is whether real or embellished, act2 remodel/break them again with an artificially created large customer surge, act 3: redemption. It - like all reality TV - is totally cooked and staged, but whatever. Sometimes you need something light and fluffy.

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No 1 said Cooking Class Wars is an interesting cooking competition where 80 chefs from a variety of restaurant types battle it out to compete with the existing Michelin star chefs in Korea. Good vibes, and you learn a lot about different types of restaurants and food cultures in Korea

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