[MSOC] #10 Portland ("University of", not Portland State) - which has a student enrollment of under 4,000 - beat Cal 2-0 in Berkeley. The Pilots dominated the match. Also, TIL that Shantay Legans is their MBB head coach
On my run this morning I saw a guy running the opposite direction wearing a Cal hat. But he was across the street and looking down at his phone as he ran so no "Go Bears" was exchanged.
Saw a woman in the parking lot on the Mesa wearing a California Golden Bears t-shirt...rolled down the window and gave a Go Bears, and it was reciprocated. We lamented the ineffective Justin Wilcox.
On this day in 1969 in Memorial Stadium the Golden Bears defeated Washington, 44-13. The Bear attack was led by running back Gary Fowler who had 18 carries for 138 yards and three touchdowns. (Gary is a long-time Cal season ticket holder who sits one section over from me. For many years before Memorial was refurbished we sat next to each other. I coaxed many a story about his playing days from him.) Linebacker Phil Croyle was the defensive star with 21 tackles and two interceptions. Randy Wersching set a Cal record with 14 “specialist” points on three field goals and five PATs.
DBD celebrates 100 years of football in Strawberry Canyon with this daily feature appearing throughout the football season.
I'm away be in Charleston SC tomorrow and Friday. A DBD has been set up, but please feel free to post away - not that you aren't free to do so anyways.
Texas takes down the top two AL teams by a combined score of 32-12 in a pair of sweeps. Looks like Bruce Bochy is riding that odd-year magic once again
Bochy simply knows how to manage in the playoffs. Bochy is Exhibit A why the Giants made a mistake in hiring Farhan Zaidi.
Bochy manages in a way that is antithetical to the analytics approach. He simply understands how to inspire, motivate, and lead baseball players. He knows how to get players to stretch beyond their comfort zones and be better ballplayers. The old bubble gum and bailing wire approach. You don't get that with analytics.
I think most SD fans agree with that. The roster they've constructed doesn't work, I don't think. I'm wondering what they do with Soto. He can't play D very well so he probably should be a DH. He should've taken the Nats offer. I don't think he gets anything close to that.
Gallego is unknown to a large contingent of Arizona voters (about 37%)
GOP voters are pretty much a bloc whether Kari Lake runs or even if Blake Masters runs. Both Lake and Masters get similar support (43% and 41%, respectively).
Sinema will probably not be re-elected. She gets 15% in a hypothetical matchup with Gallego and Lake. Her favorable/unfavorable ratings is massively underwater (26% vs. 52%). Similarly, 23% of Arizona voters say Sinema should run for re-election, while 58% say she shouldn't. Her voting record and her move to Independent status have almost certainly hurt her.
It looks to me that the race for Arizona's US Senate seat is less about personalities and more about party affiliation since a large bloc of Arizona voters are unsure about Gallego (35%) . Gallego's favorable/unfavorable rating is 38% vs. 27%; he's above water.
The demographics of Arizona are very definitely changing. It will continue to be a swing state in '24, but appears to be moving towards the Democrat column.
Outmigration is a thing in California, but I'm not sure how much of it is to any state specifically.
Arizona's population grew by about 10-11% between 2010 and 2020 and continued to grow during the pandemic. Population growth often also represents a shift in demographics voting less conservative. Also, the makeup of GOP voters has shifted away from college educated to voters with a high school education. College educated voters now tend to vote (D) rather than (R).
It will be interesting to see if the trend continues.
Just anecdotal but it seems like a lot of SoCal people have moved to Arizona over the last decade due to the cost of living and housing being so much more affordable in Arizona.
That being said, I feel like that is also mostly just HS educated Californians and not college educated so I suppose that would help the MAGA/GOP more than democrats.
Trump Org Allen Weisselberg is on the stand for the NYC-related cases. Prosecution brought forward this document - signed by Trump - that acknowledged that his triplex was 11k square feet, not 30,000 that was given to banks, insurers, and others to secure deals/financing. It proves he had knowledge.
Jack Smith's filing indicates that 25 witnesses invoked attorney-client confidentiality to withhold information during the investigation phase. If Trump continues the defense that he's floated in public that he's just following lawyer's advise, he opens up that privilege to discovery. Trump has until Dec 18th to affirm whether he will use the "advise of counsel" defense.
Before they vote on a speaker, House Republicans will vote on a party rule change that would require the speaker nominee to obtain the support of 217 Republicans before they hold a vote on the House floor. It’s an attempt to prevent something akin to the embarrassing 15 rounds of voting needed to elect Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) as speaker in January.
The draft, obtained by The Washington Post, dictates that once a candidate gets majority support, Republicans will vote in a secret ballot for two rounds in an effort to reach 217 votes.
The third round would be an open roll call, meaning lawmakers would state their support publicly to the group, and candidates would have a chance to target specific lawmakers. If no candidate reaches 217 votes after five rounds, new candidates can enter the race, and the process starts over. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.), however, opposes the rule, and he is asking his supporters to vote against it.
COMMENTARY - This rule change is obviously intended to keep the House Freedom Caucus relevant to electing a speaker and enforce GOP party unity. It is antithetical to what the nation needs, which is a centrist, bipartisan House. Polarization isn't helpful in creating House leadership based on centrism and bipartisanship. A lack of courage keeps the GOP extremists in power.
It is antithetical to what the nation needs, which is a centrist, bipartisan House.
The whole notion that garnering moderate democratic support is treason is ridiculous. Once the CR was passed, I held hope that McCarthy and Dems could do some horse trading to get Dem support for his continuing speakership...of course, hard to see Dems making concessions without a stop to the impeachment inquiry first...so perhaps it would have never worked, but I just don't see why the moderates on both sides can't form a centrist coalition that marginalizes the extremists on both sides.
McCarthy tried to run the House like he had a 90 person majority, turns out being a complete dick to the democratic representatives and the White House didn't build anyone's interest in saving his sorry ass.
Well, I think he had to given the resolution that one member could call for a vote. Passing the CR with Dem support signaled that he might forge a different path, that's all I am saying. The "radical" center needs to coalesce and start solving the multiple issues we are facing, which have been exacerbated by the extremist' intransigency on making government work for the people!
The so-called "moderates" in the GOP live in fear of getting primaried from the right. Or, for that matter, moderates in the Democratic party who fear being primaried from the left. Democrats aren't immune from this fear.
That may be, but in districts that voted Biden 2020, GOP house members could seize an opportunity to show they can work to problem solve for Americans and campaign on this. They could get primaried regardless, but in these districts, the calculation of winning the general electing and keeping it in GOP hands weighs heavily against nominating someone to the right.
On the one hand, it's good that the House Freedom Caucus does not hold veto power. On the other hand, I wonder if we aren't simply headed back to protracted balloting to elect a Speaker of the House.
Jada Pinkett Smith reveals that she's been separated from Will Smith for over 7 years, which makes everyone wonder what the hell was up with Will slapping Chris Rock
Welp, it would seem that recruiting and portal rankings are a 1:1 correlation with antional championship aspirations, as it turns out that Georgia has the number 1 class, "again" (Forrest Gump voice). But, wait, there's more, guess what's in short supply for this recruiting class? Yes, it should be familiar, 3+ star Offensive Tackles. In fact, Georgia is stuffing their meat locker with the lion's share of the top offensive line recruits.
Lastly, the podcast discusses the crazy additional correlation of NIL funds and recruiting/portal success. Moreover, some teams are so loaded with talent, they have to be cautious about how much NIL they offer a true Freshmen who has yet to prove himself. The pundit referred to it as a virtual salary cap teams have to juggle so they maintain good relations amongst teammates.
I know Las Vegas and Phoenix are booming, but I don’t get the appeal. My brother lives in the Phoenix area and when you are in the sun on a 100+ day, it is like being shot by a laser. I would much rather live in a snowy place than in that shit, if I was leaving CA due to cost concerns
CAL
Go Bears!
[MSOC] #10 Portland ("University of", not Portland State) - which has a student enrollment of under 4,000 - beat Cal 2-0 in Berkeley. The Pilots dominated the match. Also, TIL that Shantay Legans is their MBB head coach
https://calbears.com/news/2023/10/10/mens-soccer-bears-blanked-by-no-17-portland.aspx
[MGOLF] Cal wins by 15 strokes at the Alister MacKenzie Invitational
https://calbears.com/news/2023/10/10/mens-golf-cal-repeats-as-alister-mackenzie-invitational-champion.aspx
On my run this morning I saw a guy running the opposite direction wearing a Cal hat. But he was across the street and looking down at his phone as he ran so no "Go Bears" was exchanged.
Saw a woman in the parking lot on the Mesa wearing a California Golden Bears t-shirt...rolled down the window and gave a Go Bears, and it was reciprocated. We lamented the ineffective Justin Wilcox.
You in AZ?
Nah. The Mesa neighborhood in Santa Barbara. I will be in December tho!
Nice.
On this day in 1969 in Memorial Stadium the Golden Bears defeated Washington, 44-13. The Bear attack was led by running back Gary Fowler who had 18 carries for 138 yards and three touchdowns. (Gary is a long-time Cal season ticket holder who sits one section over from me. For many years before Memorial was refurbished we sat next to each other. I coaxed many a story about his playing days from him.) Linebacker Phil Croyle was the defensive star with 21 tackles and two interceptions. Randy Wersching set a Cal record with 14 “specialist” points on three field goals and five PATs.
DBD celebrates 100 years of football in Strawberry Canyon with this daily feature appearing throughout the football season.
DBD Logistics
I'm away be in Charleston SC tomorrow and Friday. A DBD has been set up, but please feel free to post away - not that you aren't free to do so anyways.
hopefully you will be less disappointed this time since you know what to expect.
I was about to ask if you meant the DBD or Charleston but it could be both
Yes.
PRO
Dillon Brooks ejected [checks notes]... from a pre-season game.
https://twitter.com/BradeauxNBA/status/1711900948145090695
On brand
Blackhawks win season opener 4-2 vs Pens, which included an assist by 18 year old #1 overall pick Connor Bedard
https://www.espn.com/nhl/story/_/id/38628701/connor-bedard-assist-helps-blackhawks-top-penguins-opener
Astros bang 4 homers and no garbage cans on way to 9-1 rout of Twins to take 2-1 ALDS lead
https://www.espn.com/mlb/boxscore/_/gameId/401581129
Could be an all-Texas ALCS this year. Both managers are former Giants managers, too.
Orioles swept via 7-1 loss in Texas.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/recap/_/gameId/401581124
Texas takes down the top two AL teams by a combined score of 32-12 in a pair of sweeps. Looks like Bruce Bochy is riding that odd-year magic once again
Bochy simply knows how to manage in the playoffs. Bochy is Exhibit A why the Giants made a mistake in hiring Farhan Zaidi.
Bochy manages in a way that is antithetical to the analytics approach. He simply understands how to inspire, motivate, and lead baseball players. He knows how to get players to stretch beyond their comfort zones and be better ballplayers. The old bubble gum and bailing wire approach. You don't get that with analytics.
hopefully some day "analytics" will tell you to chew bubble gum while managing
Padres really should have hired Bochy over Bob Melvin.
I don't think Bochy would want to deal with managing under Preller.
You are probably right, therefore Preller would have to go
I think most SD fans agree with that. The roster they've constructed doesn't work, I don't think. I'm wondering what they do with Soto. He can't play D very well so he probably should be a DH. He should've taken the Nats offer. I don't think he gets anything close to that.
Q.Ron Rodgers is still a nut.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/aaron-rodgers-says-he-and-robert-f-kennedy-jr-should-debate-travis-kelce-anthony-fauci-on-covid-19-vaccines
jfc.
OUR CRUMBLING DEMOCRACY
Poll: Gallego leads Lake by 5 points in Arizona
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4246848-gallego-leads-lake-sinema-in-arizona-senate-race-poll/
Things I learned from that article -
Gallego is unknown to a large contingent of Arizona voters (about 37%)
GOP voters are pretty much a bloc whether Kari Lake runs or even if Blake Masters runs. Both Lake and Masters get similar support (43% and 41%, respectively).
Sinema will probably not be re-elected. She gets 15% in a hypothetical matchup with Gallego and Lake. Her favorable/unfavorable ratings is massively underwater (26% vs. 52%). Similarly, 23% of Arizona voters say Sinema should run for re-election, while 58% say she shouldn't. Her voting record and her move to Independent status have almost certainly hurt her.
It looks to me that the race for Arizona's US Senate seat is less about personalities and more about party affiliation since a large bloc of Arizona voters are unsure about Gallego (35%) . Gallego's favorable/unfavorable rating is 38% vs. 27%; he's above water.
The demographics of Arizona are very definitely changing. It will continue to be a swing state in '24, but appears to be moving towards the Democrat column.
Do you suppose it is moving more left due to Californians moving there?
Outmigration is a thing in California, but I'm not sure how much of it is to any state specifically.
Arizona's population grew by about 10-11% between 2010 and 2020 and continued to grow during the pandemic. Population growth often also represents a shift in demographics voting less conservative. Also, the makeup of GOP voters has shifted away from college educated to voters with a high school education. College educated voters now tend to vote (D) rather than (R).
It will be interesting to see if the trend continues.
Just anecdotal but it seems like a lot of SoCal people have moved to Arizona over the last decade due to the cost of living and housing being so much more affordable in Arizona.
That being said, I feel like that is also mostly just HS educated Californians and not college educated so I suppose that would help the MAGA/GOP more than democrats.
Trump Org Allen Weisselberg is on the stand for the NYC-related cases. Prosecution brought forward this document - signed by Trump - that acknowledged that his triplex was 11k square feet, not 30,000 that was given to banks, insurers, and others to secure deals/financing. It proves he had knowledge.
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24025056-1994_document?responsive=1&title=1
Jack Smith's filing indicates that 25 witnesses invoked attorney-client confidentiality to withhold information during the investigation phase. If Trump continues the defense that he's floated in public that he's just following lawyer's advise, he opens up that privilege to discovery. Trump has until Dec 18th to affirm whether he will use the "advise of counsel" defense.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/10/trump-election-probe-witnesses-00120748
Rep George Santos (or whatever his name is) has been indicted with 23 Federal counts
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-congressman-santos-charged-with-23-criminal-counts-doj-2023-10-10/
Steve Garvey to run for Senate on the GOP ticket in California.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/38623147/former-dodgers-padres-star-steve-garvey-joins-us-senate-race
What a rule change would mean
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/11/house-speaker-vote/#link-MDKSRWQG3ZAKNB4XTKVXLEDJMQ
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By Leigh Ann Caldwell
Before they vote on a speaker, House Republicans will vote on a party rule change that would require the speaker nominee to obtain the support of 217 Republicans before they hold a vote on the House floor. It’s an attempt to prevent something akin to the embarrassing 15 rounds of voting needed to elect Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) as speaker in January.
The draft, obtained by The Washington Post, dictates that once a candidate gets majority support, Republicans will vote in a secret ballot for two rounds in an effort to reach 217 votes.
The third round would be an open roll call, meaning lawmakers would state their support publicly to the group, and candidates would have a chance to target specific lawmakers. If no candidate reaches 217 votes after five rounds, new candidates can enter the race, and the process starts over. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.), however, opposes the rule, and he is asking his supporters to vote against it.
COMMENTARY - This rule change is obviously intended to keep the House Freedom Caucus relevant to electing a speaker and enforce GOP party unity. It is antithetical to what the nation needs, which is a centrist, bipartisan House. Polarization isn't helpful in creating House leadership based on centrism and bipartisanship. A lack of courage keeps the GOP extremists in power.
It is antithetical to what the nation needs, which is a centrist, bipartisan House.
The whole notion that garnering moderate democratic support is treason is ridiculous. Once the CR was passed, I held hope that McCarthy and Dems could do some horse trading to get Dem support for his continuing speakership...of course, hard to see Dems making concessions without a stop to the impeachment inquiry first...so perhaps it would have never worked, but I just don't see why the moderates on both sides can't form a centrist coalition that marginalizes the extremists on both sides.
McCarthy tried to run the House like he had a 90 person majority, turns out being a complete dick to the democratic representatives and the White House didn't build anyone's interest in saving his sorry ass.
Well, I think he had to given the resolution that one member could call for a vote. Passing the CR with Dem support signaled that he might forge a different path, that's all I am saying. The "radical" center needs to coalesce and start solving the multiple issues we are facing, which have been exacerbated by the extremist' intransigency on making government work for the people!
The so-called "moderates" in the GOP live in fear of getting primaried from the right. Or, for that matter, moderates in the Democratic party who fear being primaried from the left. Democrats aren't immune from this fear.
That may be, but in districts that voted Biden 2020, GOP house members could seize an opportunity to show they can work to problem solve for Americans and campaign on this. They could get primaried regardless, but in these districts, the calculation of winning the general electing and keeping it in GOP hands weighs heavily against nominating someone to the right.
And in those instances, the fear would be even more irrational. And yet, it's a consideration for GOP Congress members you describe.
Rule didn't pass. Scalise is the nominee. We'll see how the whole House votes. Full House to meet at 3PM.
Aaaannnnnnd, they've recessed without a vote.
Reading the snippet reporting at WaPo here - https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/11/house-speaker-vote/#link-J4DIYLNZFVACTDWEW3GM2FRPHE - it's apparent that Scalise got the majority of GOP votes, but nowhere near the 218 needed to win the speakership based on GOP votes alone.
On the one hand, it's good that the House Freedom Caucus does not hold veto power. On the other hand, I wonder if we aren't simply headed back to protracted balloting to elect a Speaker of the House.
DBD AV CLUB
Jada Pinkett Smith reveals that she's been separated from Will Smith for over 7 years, which makes everyone wonder what the hell was up with Will slapping Chris Rock
https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/11/entertainment/jada-pinkett-will-smith-split/index.html
Maybe bc it was not public he felt the need for some theater?
ELSEWHERE IN COLLEGE
Just heard the good news on 24/7 podcast.
Welp, it would seem that recruiting and portal rankings are a 1:1 correlation with antional championship aspirations, as it turns out that Georgia has the number 1 class, "again" (Forrest Gump voice). But, wait, there's more, guess what's in short supply for this recruiting class? Yes, it should be familiar, 3+ star Offensive Tackles. In fact, Georgia is stuffing their meat locker with the lion's share of the top offensive line recruits.
Lastly, the podcast discusses the crazy additional correlation of NIL funds and recruiting/portal success. Moreover, some teams are so loaded with talent, they have to be cautious about how much NIL they offer a true Freshmen who has yet to prove himself. The pundit referred to it as a virtual salary cap teams have to juggle so they maintain good relations amongst teammates.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cover-3-college-football/id1257913963?i=1000630992796
Road trip
Going to Charleston, Boston, and Manhattan in the next 3 weeks. Oysters, cannoli, and pizza - here I come.
Next week leave for a three week journey to Egypt🤞🏼and Tanzania.
Nov: take mom to MA to visit family. Dec: take Mr CG to visit same family. (High maintenance needs can make travel unnecessarily complicated.)
Feb: Zermatt and Ortisei for annual group ski trip. Hope it snows this year!
I know it's not directly affected so far, but be safe in Egypt.
Good advice. Often there seems to be a carryover effect.
Will be in SLC, Utah this weekend for the game. Flight leaves 6am tomorrow.
Awsum!
possibly planning some skiing oriented road trip in Canadian Rockies for the 1st week of Mar.
it seems that flying to Spokane or Kalispell is easier than Calgary and then driving north to some of the BC ski resorts across the border.
that is the week of spring break at Ball St, which is where one of my ski companions lives and realistically the only time he can get time off.
Kalispell is a cool town.
i have been there a couple times on trips to Glacier NP. last time we stayed at the Whitefish ski resort, but in the summer.
Palm Springs for a work conference next week, high is supposed to be 101 on Monday!
ooof - that's a hydration challenge waiting to happen
I know Las Vegas and Phoenix are booming, but I don’t get the appeal. My brother lives in the Phoenix area and when you are in the sun on a 100+ day, it is like being shot by a laser. I would much rather live in a snowy place than in that shit, if I was leaving CA due to cost concerns