10 Comments

Great quant analysis. I think you have exposed some of the flaws in the thinking of our coaching braintrust. Mainly the maniacal reliance on passing on third and short. If we ran in more of those situations the level of effectiveness would be enhanced, even more so if we considered it a four down situation and ran on 4th and 1. After all, this is a 1-5 team and there is virtually nothing to lose at this point,

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Pitor - does your analysis take into account DPI?

It's an oft-repeated joke on twitter that the most effective college football offense is the All PI offense, but I think there's something to it - yeah yeah, not as a strategy, but just it *seemed* like we were sustaining a lot of drives by looking for Hunter and Crawford on deep routes, and a pretty good way to trap the CB into PI would be to have wide outs beat their men deep and then underthrown a back shoulder route so the only way back to the ball would be THROUGH a CB's interference.

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What program are you using to play with the data? I'm trying to teach myself data science and would love to know (sorry off topic)

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Man, you did a great deal of work here. This is fascinating, thank you. In summation, I think we should run it up the middle and off tackle till the other guys puke. Pass it a couple times, then run it up the middle and off tackle some more.

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"Another pressing issue is that we have crossed into the opponent’s end-zone exactly 4 times in Q2 and Q3 across all games. That’s bad. "

aiyah!!

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