Its pretty enjoyable reading WFC and hearing the various takes regarding Amir Abdur Rahim. The coach's career trajectory is trending upwards, period. The small group that continues to endorse the Mark Fox run as HC is unbelievable. All coaches at the D-1 level, or Power 5 conferences are going to deploy a system. Many players are turned …
Its pretty enjoyable reading WFC and hearing the various takes regarding Amir Abdur Rahim. The coach's career trajectory is trending upwards, period. The small group that continues to endorse the Mark Fox run as HC is unbelievable. All coaches at the D-1 level, or Power 5 conferences are going to deploy a system. Many players are turned off by a slow it down, walk it up, pass the ball around the perimeter, until the shot clock is ready to expire, then have very limited options, because the defensive team has taken away any choice that is high percentage. Any ballclub that is then forced to play from behind on the scoreboard, does not make in game adjustments will generally end up with a 3- 29 record on the season, featured by a final 16 game losing streak and last in the Conference. Many passionate Bears fans chose not to attend the games at Haas, and rightfully so,it was awful coaching, and painful to watch. I sincerely hope that the same search firm that delivered Mark Fox is never deployed again, in any capacity, in a terribly rushed and flawed process. Further, I believe that a rebuild needs to be a top priority, bearing in mind where the University wants to be in the realm of intercollegiate athletics. Cal stays a top three in the ranking of academic institutions, but may be trending towards de-emphasizing sports and how much of the overall budget is allocated in support of these programs can't be overlooked. I would have supported a coaching change during the season, and using the interim tag with the assistant, and getting a head start on the nationwide search, as those schools who did that,have already made new hires.(Pitino-St John,Cooley-Georgetown),As Cal basketball made its way into the record books, with losses, fans and supporters were conspicuous by their absence at every game, while many also called for the administration to act now with the removal of both; AD Knowlton as well as the HC,Fox.It may have been a bit premature to award the AD a contract extension, further complicating the process of replacing he, and the unsuccessful coach. Money used in a structured buyout would clearly impact a compensation package to lure and land a dynamic coach. Deferred compensation or a back loaded contract exists in the realm of creative ways to get who you want, while fully understanding that this rebuild is not going to happen overnight. With the NIL demands and transfer portals,graduate transfers being what they are, some universities are having to rethink their position. As of this writing, Cal just lost, for now, 2 players (Kuany Kuany, Joel Brown) to the transfer portal and I believe the 2 So Cal recruits, who signed early letters of intent can ask to be released from those commitments, now that the coach who recruited them has been let go This is a messy situation and will require a deep cleaning before the new coach and Department leadership are brought aboard.
He had a chance to turn things around. He was our coach for more than one year. He regressed every year. You only get so many chances, and he did not deserve the rest of this season. We are in NCAA record books for all the wrong reasons because of him and Knowlton's ineptitude.
This was the type of season that got UCSD to drop football forever and drop out of D1 athletics. The same UCSD that swept us in their first years back in D1 after 40 years.
We fired Musgrave/etc. mid-season for football (which is unheard of) and immediately saw our offense improve just from allowing the remaining staff and players approach it with a different POV.
With basketball, it could have done something as simple as just bringing more people into the stands knowing that Cal doesn't support the kind of program tanking that Fox was employing. Or the new coaching staff could have eked out 1-2 more wins, which is better than what we got -- Cal actually SUPPORTING Fox mid-season by accepting injuries as an excuse for historical levels of suck.
I did some cursory internet research on this when it was a hot topic. You're right Bob, its exceptionally rare for a head coach in major college basketball or football to lose their job mid-season for performance reasons. Like, infrequent enough that there isnt any kind of sample size to glean any insight.
And across all situations where the head coach was fired mid-season for any reason (violations and the such) , very few teams had a better record in-season post-firing. It was more common that they actually did even worse.
I think the crux for people wanting him fired midseason is really about passion. People wanted "justice", and a midseason firing wouldve been a nice exclamation point on the situation and validation of their frustration and anger.
I'm still in that camp though. If the season was still going and he was still coach, I would still want him fired right now, but not for any strategic reason, just principle.
I'll be damned if I can find this article. It listed every basketball and football coach fired during the season over a couple decades and compared before/after records during that season. The article was probably like 10 years old though when I think about it. Seems midseason fires might be a pretty recent trend, with the recruiting landscape and big business and all. Looks like the fine people at espn wrote about this https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/34919780/explaining-trend-college-football-coaches-fired-midseason
I just remembered those 3 cases because they were in Pac 10/12.
Lane Kiffin was fired and left off the team flight.
Bryce Treggs in HS was told by UCLA coaches to watch UCLA -Arizona and Treggs laughed at their humiliating loss to a team that just fired their HC. We all laughed at them too. But it didn't last long as that UCLA team humiliating us the following week.
And of course we remember last year's embarrassing loss to Colorado.
I just had to look up their records on Wikipedia though.
The Kiffin tarmac toss was iconic, but I assumed that was one of the outliers. And then I figured Dorrell this year was also a rarity, and the two were a decade apart.. But I really have no facts to offer. We need a wikipedia page for this very topic.
Yes, but even if we had full health we would have at best been a 6 win team? Most of our losses were not even close. There was no realistic path with which Fox could redeem himself.
How do I know there was no realistic path with which Fox could redeem himself?
2019-2020: 14-18
2020-2021: 9-20
2021-2022: 12-20
2022-2023: 3-29
His ceiling was 14 wins with Wyking's players. And then every year, we watched our best players leave while he ignored the recruiting trail. We weren't going to get back to 10-12 wins after losing Matt Bradley to a fucking MWC team and then Andre Kelly to UCSB. Our best players are seeing non-P6 teams as upgrades over Cal.
Mark Fox didn't show ONCE in his entire 38-87 tenure with Cal that he had any idea on how to run a modern basketball program.
You're not saying he deserved a second chance. You're saying he deserved a millionth chance. Most programs would have fired him after the 2nd season, 3rd at latest. He should have honestly been treated like Jimmy Lake, but I feel like he almost got an extension.
Edit: Let's go back to his Georgia years, where he coached for 10 years to make March Madness twice and averaged a .55 win rate. He has not shown any level of actual consistent success in over a decade.
We expect better now. We had Ben Braun, Mike Montgomery, and then Cuonzo Martin. Cal can do better. We were building and building, doing better and better with each coach.
If we were to base success based on Cal's history, Cal may as well give up on D1 sports.
Its pretty enjoyable reading WFC and hearing the various takes regarding Amir Abdur Rahim. The coach's career trajectory is trending upwards, period. The small group that continues to endorse the Mark Fox run as HC is unbelievable. All coaches at the D-1 level, or Power 5 conferences are going to deploy a system. Many players are turned off by a slow it down, walk it up, pass the ball around the perimeter, until the shot clock is ready to expire, then have very limited options, because the defensive team has taken away any choice that is high percentage. Any ballclub that is then forced to play from behind on the scoreboard, does not make in game adjustments will generally end up with a 3- 29 record on the season, featured by a final 16 game losing streak and last in the Conference. Many passionate Bears fans chose not to attend the games at Haas, and rightfully so,it was awful coaching, and painful to watch. I sincerely hope that the same search firm that delivered Mark Fox is never deployed again, in any capacity, in a terribly rushed and flawed process. Further, I believe that a rebuild needs to be a top priority, bearing in mind where the University wants to be in the realm of intercollegiate athletics. Cal stays a top three in the ranking of academic institutions, but may be trending towards de-emphasizing sports and how much of the overall budget is allocated in support of these programs can't be overlooked. I would have supported a coaching change during the season, and using the interim tag with the assistant, and getting a head start on the nationwide search, as those schools who did that,have already made new hires.(Pitino-St John,Cooley-Georgetown),As Cal basketball made its way into the record books, with losses, fans and supporters were conspicuous by their absence at every game, while many also called for the administration to act now with the removal of both; AD Knowlton as well as the HC,Fox.It may have been a bit premature to award the AD a contract extension, further complicating the process of replacing he, and the unsuccessful coach. Money used in a structured buyout would clearly impact a compensation package to lure and land a dynamic coach. Deferred compensation or a back loaded contract exists in the realm of creative ways to get who you want, while fully understanding that this rebuild is not going to happen overnight. With the NIL demands and transfer portals,graduate transfers being what they are, some universities are having to rethink their position. As of this writing, Cal just lost, for now, 2 players (Kuany Kuany, Joel Brown) to the transfer portal and I believe the 2 So Cal recruits, who signed early letters of intent can ask to be released from those commitments, now that the coach who recruited them has been let go This is a messy situation and will require a deep cleaning before the new coach and Department leadership are brought aboard.
Great post!!
Who TF is endorsing Mark Fox’s run? They should be stripped of their Cal fandom and sent to the leper colony island. Ridiculous…it’s indefensible.
He had a chance to turn things around. He was our coach for more than one year. He regressed every year. You only get so many chances, and he did not deserve the rest of this season. We are in NCAA record books for all the wrong reasons because of him and Knowlton's ineptitude.
This was the type of season that got UCSD to drop football forever and drop out of D1 athletics. The same UCSD that swept us in their first years back in D1 after 40 years.
We fired Musgrave/etc. mid-season for football (which is unheard of) and immediately saw our offense improve just from allowing the remaining staff and players approach it with a different POV.
With basketball, it could have done something as simple as just bringing more people into the stands knowing that Cal doesn't support the kind of program tanking that Fox was employing. Or the new coaching staff could have eked out 1-2 more wins, which is better than what we got -- Cal actually SUPPORTING Fox mid-season by accepting injuries as an excuse for historical levels of suck.
I did some cursory internet research on this when it was a hot topic. You're right Bob, its exceptionally rare for a head coach in major college basketball or football to lose their job mid-season for performance reasons. Like, infrequent enough that there isnt any kind of sample size to glean any insight.
And across all situations where the head coach was fired mid-season for any reason (violations and the such) , very few teams had a better record in-season post-firing. It was more common that they actually did even worse.
I think the crux for people wanting him fired midseason is really about passion. People wanted "justice", and a midseason firing wouldve been a nice exclamation point on the situation and validation of their frustration and anger.
I'm still in that camp though. If the season was still going and he was still coach, I would still want him fired right now, but not for any strategic reason, just principle.
Really?
I can think of three easily off my head.
Lane Kiffin. I just looked it up and USC went 8-3 after Kiffin was fired.
Mike Stoops was fired after going 1-5, but they destroyed UCLA in the first game after his firing. They went 3-3 the rest of season.
Colorado fired Karl Dorrell after going 0-5 and they immediately beat Cal. They did not win any game after that.
Sark was fired mid season but I think that was a separate issue.
I'll be damned if I can find this article. It listed every basketball and football coach fired during the season over a couple decades and compared before/after records during that season. The article was probably like 10 years old though when I think about it. Seems midseason fires might be a pretty recent trend, with the recruiting landscape and big business and all. Looks like the fine people at espn wrote about this https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/34919780/explaining-trend-college-football-coaches-fired-midseason
Interesting. Yeah maybe that's more recent trend. People are less patient and you can't afford to lose recruits.
huh, the article i read was probably a few years old.. i shouldve found it and posted it instead of vaguely paraphrasing. maybe I can still find it!
I just remembered those 3 cases because they were in Pac 10/12.
Lane Kiffin was fired and left off the team flight.
Bryce Treggs in HS was told by UCLA coaches to watch UCLA -Arizona and Treggs laughed at their humiliating loss to a team that just fired their HC. We all laughed at them too. But it didn't last long as that UCLA team humiliating us the following week.
And of course we remember last year's embarrassing loss to Colorado.
I just had to look up their records on Wikipedia though.
The Kiffin tarmac toss was iconic, but I assumed that was one of the outliers. And then I figured Dorrell this year was also a rarity, and the two were a decade apart.. But I really have no facts to offer. We need a wikipedia page for this very topic.
Yes, but even if we had full health we would have at best been a 6 win team? Most of our losses were not even close. There was no realistic path with which Fox could redeem himself.
How do I know there was no realistic path with which Fox could redeem himself?
2019-2020: 14-18
2020-2021: 9-20
2021-2022: 12-20
2022-2023: 3-29
His ceiling was 14 wins with Wyking's players. And then every year, we watched our best players leave while he ignored the recruiting trail. We weren't going to get back to 10-12 wins after losing Matt Bradley to a fucking MWC team and then Andre Kelly to UCSB. Our best players are seeing non-P6 teams as upgrades over Cal.
Mark Fox didn't show ONCE in his entire 38-87 tenure with Cal that he had any idea on how to run a modern basketball program.
You're not saying he deserved a second chance. You're saying he deserved a millionth chance. Most programs would have fired him after the 2nd season, 3rd at latest. He should have honestly been treated like Jimmy Lake, but I feel like he almost got an extension.
Edit: Let's go back to his Georgia years, where he coached for 10 years to make March Madness twice and averaged a .55 win rate. He has not shown any level of actual consistent success in over a decade.
We expect better now. We had Ben Braun, Mike Montgomery, and then Cuonzo Martin. Cal can do better. We were building and building, doing better and better with each coach.
If we were to base success based on Cal's history, Cal may as well give up on D1 sports.