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Cal Men's Basketball Preview: USC visits Berkeley

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Cal Men's Basketball Preview: USC visits Berkeley

a big test for the surging bears

Rob Hwang
Jan 6, 2022
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Cal Men's Basketball Preview: USC visits Berkeley

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Cal Basketball @CalMBBall
Fight for California. Bears vs. Trojans, tomorrow night in #OurHaas. 📰 » calbea.rs/3q0gxY9
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11:34 PM ∙ Jan 5, 2022
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Date: Thursday January 6th, 2022 (8PM FS1)

Opponent: #7 USC Trojans

Record: 12-0 (Conference: 2-0)

Standings: 1st in Pac-12

KenPom Ranking: #19

Opponent Team Stats: 75.9 PPG/42.8RPG/16.0APG/5.3SPG/4.6BPG


Key Players: 

  • Chevez Goodwin

    • Power Forward (6-foot-9/225lbs)

    • Senior

    • 13.2PPG/7.1RPG

    • 64.2%-FG/51.2%-FT

  • Isaiah Mobley

    • Center (6-foot-10/240lbs)

    • Junior

    • 15.0PPG/9.6RPG/2.8APG

    • 47.9%-FG/42.6%-3PT/59.5%-FT

  • Boogie Ellis

    • Point Guard (6-foot-3/185lbs)

    • Junior

    • 11.8PPG/4.0RPG/3.1APG

    • 45.3%-FG/32.7%-3PT/70.4%-FT


Expected Starting 5:

  • Guard Boogie Ellis

  • Guard Ethan Anderson

  • Forward Drew Peterson

  • Forward Chevez Goodwin

  • Center Isaiah Mobley


The Bears have a tough matchup on their hands. Goodwin and Mobley are the most talented frontcourt duo in the conference. Andre Kelly and Grant Anticevich will have their hands full and will need to defend without getting in to foul trouble. If that does happen expect a more speed based rotation rather than trying to matchup Lars Thiemann with the likes of Mobley or Goodwin. Offensively the Bears are going to need to continue their hot streak from beyond the arc. The team averages over 35% from 3PT land compared to USC’s defense only allowing 27.4% from beyond the arc. Shots will be tough to make against this USC defense which has the #1 defensive effective field goal percentage in the country, all while allowing only 39.8% from anything inside the arc. A good test for the Bears who are riding high with a 9 game home win streak.

Make sure to check out the recap from the Bears’ last game against Arizona State.


Cal’s Win Probability and Score according to KenPom: 32% (61-66 Loss)

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hoopdreams
Jan 6, 2022

well, we need to exploit their poor FT shooting!

wow, this is a very good team on both sides of the court, and agree their front court will be VERY difficult for us to handle as we have no depth there and yet can't afford for either Kelly or Grant to get in foul trouble. I expect we will throw a lot of doubles when ever the ball goes into the post, but Mobley is so mobile, that he can probably face up, and shoot or drive, which will limit our ability to bring help

To win this game, we need to play our best game ... hit 3s and FTs, win the turnover battle, get one of their bigs in foul trouble (unlikely), and rebound over the best rebounding dual in the Pac12

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alpha1906
Jan 6, 2022

Ethan is the son of Cal Bear alum, and my friend, Pam Anderson. So I always root for him to do well, but not win against Cal!

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