The ACC is locked up for over a decade still with huge buyouts. Big 12 has a 6-year deal to start. Given that, I would say Big 12 is more vulnerable but I wouldn't say particularly vulnerable because I'm not sure how much more consolidation we'll see.
I think we were seeing a scenario where only one of the Pac and Big 12 could survive and...welp.
The ACC is locked up for over a decade still with huge buyouts. Big 12 has a 6-year deal to start. Given that, I would say Big 12 is more vulnerable but I wouldn't say particularly vulnerable because I'm not sure how much more consolidation we'll see.
I think we were seeing a scenario where only one of the Pac and Big 12 could survive and...welp.
Yeah the low-ball thing will be the major issue. If Fox and ESPN incentivize B1G and SEC to expand (especially with a "partial share tier" above the B12 or ACC full share) you'll see some defections. B12 media deal ends before the ACC GOR contract ends, though dollars may start becoming high enough to make it worth breaking.
Agree. The Big 12 got poached first so I think that gives them the advantage. The ACC has a longer term contract, but the first sign of a break in their GOR and they'll get absolutely pillaged. If the Big 12 is still around at that time I imagine they'll be the winner since they were poached first. There's only a few schools in the Big 12 that I think the Big Ten and SEC would go after later.
The ACC is locked up for over a decade still with huge buyouts. Big 12 has a 6-year deal to start. Given that, I would say Big 12 is more vulnerable but I wouldn't say particularly vulnerable because I'm not sure how much more consolidation we'll see.
I think we were seeing a scenario where only one of the Pac and Big 12 could survive and...welp.
I don't think big 12 will get poached outside of maybe KU/KSU, but will get lowballed in the next round.
Yeah the low-ball thing will be the major issue. If Fox and ESPN incentivize B1G and SEC to expand (especially with a "partial share tier" above the B12 or ACC full share) you'll see some defections. B12 media deal ends before the ACC GOR contract ends, though dollars may start becoming high enough to make it worth breaking.
An ongoing lesson in corporate oligarchy, which I hate almost as much as Communism. What's happened to our anti-trust laws?
Bob R, what say you?
Agree. The Big 12 got poached first so I think that gives them the advantage. The ACC has a longer term contract, but the first sign of a break in their GOR and they'll get absolutely pillaged. If the Big 12 is still around at that time I imagine they'll be the winner since they were poached first. There's only a few schools in the Big 12 that I think the Big Ten and SEC would go after later.