Is it really devastating for the West Coast if all the active programs have their rosters depleted by COVID because they weren't careful enough? For a season? Sure. Once all the kids realize one conference had their best interests in check?
As much as I'd love to see Cal Football, it has to be safe. Also, student-athletes are still students (the NCAA has spent lots of money on lawyers to say this!) so we can't have a sports carve-out.
Might have a smattering of games in an ad-hoc way. Presumably, all players will get extra eligibility and all schools should be allowed to open extra scholarship slots next year.
Extra scholarship slots and an extra year of eligibility have a cost. Some schools have quietly and some not so quietly have moved their seniors along down the road from the spring sport extension, and that cost a lot less that preserving fall sport scholarships will, and lost a lot less revenue than losing the fall season will. Lots of the campuses are already looking at massive staff cuts and general scholarship and stipend cuts as it is.
Meanwhile, the SEC probably manages to further widen the gap between themselves and everyone else.
My wildish guess here is that to appease the schools, players, fans, Pac-12 will announce by early July that they will play football in the spring of 2021 with fans (ideal and really only situation to make money). Fall college football will happen sporadically across the country with mixed results, but it will be a year with multiple schools self-declaring themselves as "national champions".
This could have devastating impacts to the California Pac 12 schools and the Pac 12 as a whole. The SEC, Big 10, ACC and Big 12 are all going to play their seasons, it’s just a question if they allow fans to attend their games. The NCAA, following the presidents lead has punted their responsibility to lead here and has delegated each school to make their own decision as to whether they play or not. Which basically means every school with the exception of California, Washington and New York will probably play their games.
Looking at which states and areas reopened up this week, this is likely. California has sporting events in "phase four," and the Bay Area and Los Angeles are continuing to be the most conservative—staying in "phase one" and extending shelter in place through the end of July, respectively.
Is it really devastating for the West Coast if all the active programs have their rosters depleted by COVID because they weren't careful enough? For a season? Sure. Once all the kids realize one conference had their best interests in check?
As much as I'd love to see Cal Football, it has to be safe. Also, student-athletes are still students (the NCAA has spent lots of money on lawyers to say this!) so we can't have a sports carve-out.
Might have a smattering of games in an ad-hoc way. Presumably, all players will get extra eligibility and all schools should be allowed to open extra scholarship slots next year.
Extra scholarship slots and an extra year of eligibility have a cost. Some schools have quietly and some not so quietly have moved their seniors along down the road from the spring sport extension, and that cost a lot less that preserving fall sport scholarships will, and lost a lot less revenue than losing the fall season will. Lots of the campuses are already looking at massive staff cuts and general scholarship and stipend cuts as it is.
Meanwhile, the SEC probably manages to further widen the gap between themselves and everyone else.
The SEC and Big Ten will benefit the most from this and they will continue to widen the gap.
I wouldn’t be surprised at all if teams in the SEC and Big Ten have their stadiums completely full of fans for opening kickoff.
My wildish guess here is that to appease the schools, players, fans, Pac-12 will announce by early July that they will play football in the spring of 2021 with fans (ideal and really only situation to make money). Fall college football will happen sporadically across the country with mixed results, but it will be a year with multiple schools self-declaring themselves as "national champions".
Central Florida could get their 2nd self-declared trophy in the last 5 years
This will be devastating to Cal and Pac-12 as a whole. Rose Bowl before I die might unfortunately never happen.
But at the same time I can't disagree with the decision here for public safety. In fact the rest of the country is the one making a poor decision IMO.
Good. Let the semi-pro teams play. All West Coast League is fine with me. USC? Who cares?
This could have devastating impacts to the California Pac 12 schools and the Pac 12 as a whole. The SEC, Big 10, ACC and Big 12 are all going to play their seasons, it’s just a question if they allow fans to attend their games. The NCAA, following the presidents lead has punted their responsibility to lead here and has delegated each school to make their own decision as to whether they play or not. Which basically means every school with the exception of California, Washington and New York will probably play their games.
This is potential dooms day scenario.
California public schools blocked from football. SEC, B1G, etc. all play. Massive wave of transfers ensues.
Looking at which states and areas reopened up this week, this is likely. California has sporting events in "phase four," and the Bay Area and Los Angeles are continuing to be the most conservative—staying in "phase one" and extending shelter in place through the end of July, respectively.