124 Comments

Media news?

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So I guess Tucker is leaving Fox...

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/tucker-carlson-isnt-leaving-fox-news_n_5fb3b0aac5b6d878180ac92a

I'm taking his firm denial as "i'm packing my office up now"

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Off to Newsmax or OANN?

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TrumpTV

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I didn't know there was a ranking system for bookstores, but here's another reason to go to Portugal! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Livraria_Lello

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I can get some home buying advice from people.

Basically should I buy a home right now or wait? Home prices are up nationwide but are we in a Covid induced bubble that will slightly deflate?

I live in San Diego and home prices have been on an astronomical increase here. Still some election uncertainty and obviously Covid cases are going up here and throughout California.

My wife and I both work, combined yearly income of $200k and we have $200k saved up for a down payment. Interest rates are super low right now but they should remain low for the next year or two. Some debt, nothing major. Mostly car and student loan. Two kids, one is in preschool (she just turned 3) and my son is 5 months old, preschool is $1,300 a month.

Kids are young and our rent is low $1,850 for a 2/2 near Balboa Park (Hillcrest) and our lease is month to month so we aren’t in a hurry to move.

Any advice on what we should do is greatly appreciated.

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I (maybe obviously) say yes without a doubt IF you plan to stay there more than 3 years - are your jobs stable?

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We are fortunate that our jobs are as stable as can be during these times. My wife works for SDSU Research Foundation and I am the Environmental Director and Domestic Water Manager for a Tribal Government.

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Then if the school district is good, I don't see why not.

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can't comment on housing market in CA. from what i hear it is insane, so i dont know what your monthly mortgage + property tax bill would be.

the general advice is to buy a house. the primary benefit is that you are locking a payment that won't go up and it is presumably an investment that goes up over time. if you have down payment and can afford the payments, it generally makes sense.

however, it seems like you have a pretty modest rent payment and your situation works for you, so you are probably saving a lot, maybe a lot more than you would otherwise.

probably it depends the most on if you think you are staying put for a while to make it worth the plunge.

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I know everyone says to buy and I do agree with that for all the obvious reasons. Our rent is modest and even putting 20% on a $800-900k home our monthly mortgage and tax would still be in the $2,900-3,900 range depending on the final price of the house.

It’s really the child care that is ridiculous. Daughters preschool is $1,300 a month and my son will be joining her when he is 18 months so I will eventually be paying $2,600 a month for child care, which is just insane.

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Over the long haul, its hard to imagine the already insane real estate market in any well developed area of California not continuing to get even more expensive, so long as you avoid an area that is a candidate for collapse, or a local disaster. Its also hard to believe interest rates will not increase at some point. (Scootie probably has better insight on the financial market.) And what you consider low rent is already unsustainable for the most people in most places. That likely won't improve with time. either Generally, the sooner you start getting something for your money, the better. Just be conservative and careful about what you are getting, to avoid problems you can't afford that you could/should have spotted.

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(Since it sounds like you don't need or want to relocate.)

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agreed. about interest rates. as far as i can tell (although i dont work in finance day-to-day anymore) we are in a prolonged low interest regime.

while it is hard for it to go any lower, given that we are near zero on Fed Funds rate, there is not too much risk of "high" rates or the inflation horror stories from the 70's.

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the first few years after you first buy the house are generally the most constraining financially.

things that will probably happen in 3-5 years

- your salaries will steadily go up

- preschool cost will go away, assuming kids go to public schools

- some kid and family expenses will go up but generally all less than preschool.

on the other hand, you might end up w/ some unexpected house expense that throws you for a loop. luckily we werent too financially constrained, but we need to replace the entire slate roof on our house shortly after moving in.

we had similar child care costs. we ended up opting for a full time nanny. it was still expensive, but helped in so many other ways. no packing diapers bags, lunches, etc etc ..

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Yeah, I know we have a light at the end of the tunnel with child care cost. The public schools in San Carlos are very good so no need for private school.

Our salaries should continue to go up.

I suppose my real question is, do people think this trend of home prices will continue to go up for the next 6-12 months or will it stabilize.

Home prices were going up in SD precovid but since Covid it has gone up at an astronomical rate, much higher and faster than just 12 months ago.

People keep saying it is due to tech folks leaving the Bay Area and coming here since they can work remotely. I am sure some of that is true but I also feel like that is the real estate equivalent of screaming ANTIFA at a protest.

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that's a tough call for just about anyone to make. maybe life goes 100% back to normal when vaccines come around. or maybe not.

even though it is a really BIG decision, hopefully the timing element wont be a huge factor in long term success of the plan.

i would just equate it to being able to call the top or bottom of a stock market cycle and comparing that with staying invested for the long haul.

not sure if that makes anyone feel better!

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It's more driven by lower interest rates than anything else.

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Yeah, you’re probably right about low interest rates driving home prices and that’s why you see home prices up in all regions and throughout the US.

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I'm not the best source for financial advice and I don't know the San Diego market. One thing I will ask is what are the schools like in your neighborhood? You're a couple of years out from kindergarten being an issue, so there's not a lot of time pressure in that regard. Is that a driver for picking a location? And how does it affect commuting times assuming that becomes an issue again?

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Schools a major consideration. Schools in Hillcrest aren’t that bad.

We are looking at San Carlos and Del Cerro, which are near SDSU and they have some great schools out there.

Also looking Clairemont, Kearney and Serra Mesa areas, this is basically central San Diego. I grew up in these areas and went to school in these neighborhoods The schools aren’t as good in those areas but hey, I made it to Cal! I was the only one from my class!

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Don't know how far your commute would be but I grew up in University City with my mom teaching at SDSU and her commute usually wasn't too bad. Schools were pretty solid too (Scootie can verify).

I'm not too familiar with La Mesa but it's frequently mentioned as one of the county's hot locations. Grossmont Unified is supposed to be pretty good for high schools. Not sure about elementary and middle schools though.

Unfortunately all the top schools are farther north/La Jolla/Coronado.

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I’m not living in La Mesa, San Carlos is west of La Mesa and still in San Diego. The schools there are really good. My commute from San Carlos to my office would be about 45 minutes to an hour, my wife’s would be 10-15 minutes.

UC is great but the home prices there have become borderline unaffordable for most San Diegans. You are looking at $900k for an average 3/2. Most homes in UC are now $1 million plus.

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La Mesa was a suggestion, not an assumption :)

For University City, I was thinking more in north Clairemont that would have access to the schools. Pretty sure that area is more affordable, at least.

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i am now thinking of moving to SD too! sounds pretty nice

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I'm a little surprised to see rave reviews of the Apple M1 chip computers - Air, Pro, Mac Mini. I'm so used to problems when they try new hardware on phones that it didn't occur to me that they'd nail the laptops (and desktop).

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If you're a Californian on the run from the FBI for running a Ponzi scheme, you should:

a) turn yourself in and use your ill-gained money to hire great lawyers

b) drive to a wooded part of the Northwest to sneak across the Canadian border, or

c) https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fbi-suspect-underwater-sea-scooter-escape-lake-shasta-california/

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well c) seems like it works in the movies....

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Do you want an ape uprising? Because this is how you get an ape uprising.

https://interestingengineering.com/scientists-grow-bigger-monkey-brains-using-human-genes-replicating-evolution

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now it's a race between Planet of the Apes, and Terminator.

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Crossover time! Apes, planet of, vs Terminator.

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Someone Polynesian that you admire

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Sammy Sagapolu.

Mean run-blocker. Intimidating calves. Genuinely nice guy.

https://www.facebook.com/MetroLionsAmericanFootball/photos/pcb.413248409077602/413248292410947/

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Poisson cru

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the mutineers on the Bounty

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Name Larry Scott's next Pac-12 media project.

https://twitter.com/sbjsbd/status/1328331583133249537

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Sigh...

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Samsung TV Plus? Redbox Free Live TV? XOMO? Why does Larry Scott insist on making sure as few eyeballs as possible watch his network?

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P12N will live-stream a VR program of Larry Scott's luxury box. It will be broadcast either at 3pm, 9pm, 1am, or 6am. Available on Xiaomi and Vertu phones only. Starts at $132 (traveler's checks only).

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I had completely forgotten about Vertu phones! An expensive container for industry-average content is pretty perfect for anything related to the Pac12 channel.

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Elsewhere in college

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Miami postpones their next 2 games, and reschedules another, which leads to other schedule adjustments. If things don't improve, never mind even staying the same, all these games pushed into December are going to be an impossible task. Lots of people, including writers and conference officials, talk about postponing games like they are necessarily going to eventually get played but eventually the road that the can keeps getting kicked down is soon going to turn into a dead end.

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Yeah I keep laughing at all these “postponed” games. Maybe they mean postponed to the 2021 season because they are out of weekends to make up these games.

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Larry Scott has asked the CFP Committee to delay

https://www.sportsbusinessdaily.com/Daily/Morning-Buzz/2020/11/17/CFP.aspx

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@Just making sure Cal has time to play enough games to qualify@

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I don’t think we need to worry about this anymore.

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Expanding the playoff field to 128 teams would also help.

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🎵Don't stop believing🎶

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MATTHEW

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In case y'all didn't get the joke, the picture is Matthew McConaugheihei

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All right all right all right

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I liked Contact

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I liked Dallas Buyers Club

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My middle name. <spoiler>You didn't say it had to be someone well known...</spoiler>

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OUR CRUMBLING DEMOCRACY

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Trump fires CISA Chris Krebs in retribution for defending US elections as secure

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1328852352787484677

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Biden names some pieces to his back-office administration. None are named Biden, Harris, or married to people with those names.

https://twitter.com/Transition46/status/1328731762546126850

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Gov Doug Burghum (R-ND) issues an order to allow/force asymptomatic Covid-positive healthcare workers to report to work

https://www.grandforksherald.com/newsmd/coronavirus/6753876-With-North-Dakota-hospitals-at-100-capacity-Burgum-announces-COVID-positive-nurses-can-stay-at-work

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that's never a good sign

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Freaking out the nurses that don't have it.

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Grandpa is gonna die within a year anyway, Atlas shrugs.

JFC, he's even worse on video

https://twitter.com/NikkiMcR/status/1328502026381176832

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Drunk uncle Rudy is appearing in PA court today on behalf of Trump at 1:30pm Eastern today. Over/under on seconds before he gets reprimanded by the judge?

https://twitter.com/ZoeTillman/status/1328713161814446081

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jfc. what's the annual fee? $200? $400?

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STOP THE... KEEP THE COUNT!

2,600 ballots found on un-uploaded tabulator machine in Georgia. Since the votes were 64% for Trump (+800), they are obviously NOT voter fraud.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/526234-vote-recount-in-georgia-finds-over-2600-ballots-in-floyd-county

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The 36% that were not for him obviously are. /s

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Economist/YouGov poll of voters. 14% of Trump voters say Biden legitimately won the election, 86% disagreed. Almost all Trump voters said DJT should sue, about two-thirds saying the courts will make a difference - underscoring how effective Trump's lying has been.

This poll chilled me to the bone and so upset my wife that I had to ban her from doom-scrolling. Violence seems inevitable in the days following December 14th.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/9j7sr0my95/econTabReport.pdf

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/11/11/more-than-8-in-10-trump-voters-think-bidens-win-is-not-legitimate/

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Eh, I disagree that "violence is inevitable" - it is distressing that so many djt voters believe the moron now, but I don't think that translates into violence. I think that shifts as djt loses case after case in courts.

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that's not going to stop them. I don't think it's going to be a civil war but there's plenty of scope for "low intensity" / terror events. At some point some competent extremists are going to break cover.

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Hopefully some will see the inevitability of the situation, but some will reach the point of being triggered into "last resort" actions.

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He's already lost 24.

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In order to believe the lies, you have to start from 1) bias, and 2) not understanding how the process actually works. And in some degree of fairness, I couldn't claim with a straight face that I completely understood the entire process of certifying electors because most of the time it just works without people claiming it's not the actual process.

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Nevertheless, this underscores a problem that can't be ignored the way it was for years. There is a large segment of the populace that is generally ignorant by choice of how a lot of things work (as we have had demonstrated repeatedly for 10 months), and they like it that way. They also get ballots just the same.

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although i dont disagree, you have to add in some component of "where you get information that you believe"

that might be the most fundamental thing going on here.

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sure, there's an entire ecosystem of sources - not just fox news - that are driving this. It didn't come out from nowhere.

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Or happen overnight.

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Gov. Reynolds (R-IA) issues a mask-mandate a few months after belittling the idea

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/526248-iowa-governor-reverses-course-issues-statewide-mask-mandate

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Now that the election is over, how many Red states will now have mask mandates?

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I genuinely think it wasn't election driven, they really believed it was all overblown until it wasn't.

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Many. I think North Dakota has and there may be others already.

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i am driving to Muncie IN in a few weeks. will find out first hand.

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That seems like an atypical destination

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a good friend of mine is having rotator cuff and bicep ligament surgery. i figured that i'd go hang w/ him for a week and be useful since he lives on his own.

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that's very kind of you

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and he teaches astronomy at Ball State, which is why Muncie is the destination

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Lady G is terrible.

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Imagine being dumb enough to tell the Secretary of State not to count the opposing party's ballots in a race that isn't significant enough to change the overall outcome of the election.

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It looks like Lyndsey Graham is trying the old "plainly he didn't understand what I was asking" defense. I do wonder if the "national" level of the GOP is doing more damage than they realize by implying that state and locals in charge of elections are either rubes or corrupt.

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The other thing, has he seen Trump get away with this shit, and now thinks he can do the same thing? Sorry Linds, it doesn't work that way.

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It's positively amazing just how corrupt he is, even HIS version of the call is election interference.

But of course he went further than that.

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jfc Linds: next time make sure there's nobody else on the call

https://twitter.com/JoshNBCNews/status/1328744809008427010?s=20

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good lord.

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and he's just announcing that he tried the same thing for Nevada and one other state.

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and the Arizona Secretary of State is saying that in fact Linds is lying, he never called!

https://twitter.com/SecretaryHobbs/status/1328740255395053568?s=20

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Lady G needs to be investigated by the Biden DOJ.

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PRO

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Theo Epstein steps down. Perhaps a data model showed that the team would do better without him.

https://twitter.com/sahadevsharma/status/1328744965808279552

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Probably several.

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Phoenix Suns complete trade to acquire Chris Paul from Oklahoma City Thunder

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/30331010/sources-phoenix-suns-finalizing-deal-acquire-chris-paul-oklahoma-city-thunder

The Phoenix Suns on Monday acquired All-Star guard Chris Paul in a trade with the Oklahoma City Thunder.

In return for Paul and forward Abdel Nader, the Thunder received Kelly Oubre Jr., Ricky Rubio, Ty Jerome, Jalen Lecque and a 2022 first-round pick from the Suns.

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I'm not sure I get this one. Isn't Booker a ball dominant SG?

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Sources: Milwaukee Bucks agree to deals for New Orleans Pelicans' Jrue Holiday, Sacramento Kings' Bogdan Bogdanovic

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/30333660/sources-milwaukee-bucks-agree-deals-new-orleans-pelicans-jrue-holiday-sacramento-kings-bogdan-bogdanovic

The Milwaukee Bucks promised reigning back-to-back MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo a reshaped roster to try to transform regular-season success into a championship push. In the span of hours as Monday night bled into Tuesday morning, the Bucks reached agreements on acquiring two significant players, New Orleans Pelicans guard Jrue Holiday and Sacramento Kings forward Bogdan Bogdanovic, sources told ESPN.

---------------

Bucks getting seriious? Giving up Bledsoe, George Hill, and 3 First Rounders! for Jrue Holiday. And 3 other players for Bogdan Bogdanovic.

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CAL

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DT Aaron Maldonado and freshman WR Jeremiah Hunter out for the season

https://writeforcalifornia.com/p/cal-football-lose-2-players-to-season

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That UCLA loss is the lump of coal that just keeps on giving.

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Saw a woman wearing a Cal hat on my run this morning. I said Go Bears and her response - yeah, wear a mask. I don't wear a mask while on a run.

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chilly! (the wind and the response)

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To be fair, she was probably recommending wearing a mask to spare embarrassment of showing your face as a Cal fan rather than any sort of health-related concerns.

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Good opportunity to kill multiple birds with one stone!

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[KristenBellLaughingAndThenCrying.gif]

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Go Bears and Beat the Beavs!!!

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