Oh this is dumb. Do you WATCH the games? Grant's release is Slllooooowwww and so he needs to be open longer than most P5 recruits. We don't have a pick and pop guy at either the 5 (or really the 4 cause Grant is much more a SF than a PF). South has been in a shooting slump the whole of conference bricking a huge number of WIDE OPEN three point shots. Paris doesn't have a good jumper from outside. Brown can't hit free throws so I am not sure how he is hitting 3s. Bradley is getting run off the line nearly every possession.
I love cal fans but I really do believe that so many real world math wiz's end up getting blinded by stats and not really focusing on the REASONS for some of those number. Data sometimes without context is just noise.
The real concern is that we do NOT have Pac12 caliber talent. Until that changes we are what we are.
I do not think the games between UCLA and UW’s 1-3-1 showed cause for alarm on offense. But how we handled the 1-3-1’s since are cause for alarm. If I was Furd, I would come out in a 1-3-1 until we figure out how to score on it.
I didn't spend the time doing the math, but basically Cal's 3 point % would have to drop to like near 20% for it to stop making sense in terms of a pure points perspective?
Very interesting analysis. I'd had a feeling all season that something was wrong strategically with the offense but couldn't put my finger on the problem. This makes it crystal clear. Also, it appears (as you comment) that we are not trying very hard to get good three point looks. The OSU zone for example stifled our outside shooting. Even Bradley could not get open. Then, if we go inside we have a tendency to miss short shots and layups.
Oh this is dumb. Do you WATCH the games? Grant's release is Slllooooowwww and so he needs to be open longer than most P5 recruits. We don't have a pick and pop guy at either the 5 (or really the 4 cause Grant is much more a SF than a PF). South has been in a shooting slump the whole of conference bricking a huge number of WIDE OPEN three point shots. Paris doesn't have a good jumper from outside. Brown can't hit free throws so I am not sure how he is hitting 3s. Bradley is getting run off the line nearly every possession.
I love cal fans but I really do believe that so many real world math wiz's end up getting blinded by stats and not really focusing on the REASONS for some of those number. Data sometimes without context is just noise.
The real concern is that we do NOT have Pac12 caliber talent. Until that changes we are what we are.
"No, I’m not advocating that Cal sends DJ Thorpe and Lars Thiemann out to the 3 point line to bomb away indiscriminately."
Well, why not, Nick?
I do not think the games between UCLA and UW’s 1-3-1 showed cause for alarm on offense. But how we handled the 1-3-1’s since are cause for alarm. If I was Furd, I would come out in a 1-3-1 until we figure out how to score on it.
Great math here! Loved this look at offensive choices that I hadn’t considered before.
I didn't spend the time doing the math, but basically Cal's 3 point % would have to drop to like near 20% for it to stop making sense in terms of a pure points perspective?
Very interesting analysis. I'd had a feeling all season that something was wrong strategically with the offense but couldn't put my finger on the problem. This makes it crystal clear. Also, it appears (as you comment) that we are not trying very hard to get good three point looks. The OSU zone for example stifled our outside shooting. Even Bradley could not get open. Then, if we go inside we have a tendency to miss short shots and layups.