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good article, although I'm skeptical of the conclusion that things will all shake out and land basically where we are today

several things concern me about the brave new world...

1. I doubt the under-the-table payments to players were the size of the deals we are hearing about. yeah, paying for housing of relatives, free flights/hotel for families, use of a fancy car, $20k cash, etc.

I doubt even Uncle Phil would pay a player $500K under the table

2. tampering was bad before, but I hear that it's now on a fast train to nashville

3. are collectives REALLY going to be ON TOP of donations to schools, or are they closer to a zero-sum game?

4. I think some schools will TRY to play by the rules, where others (like Miami and Webber State)

5. the article leaves out the california law that is working it's way through congress. If approved, will be another torpedo direct hit into starboard

6. the free market rules in the new world of college sports, with no breakers or guard rails ... in a free market, there are winners and losers ... the winners get bigger, the losers get weaker and drop out. Only 30 NBA teams and 32 NFL teams, and small market teams struggle

7. any rules restricting players from transferring in any way, short of a collective bargaining agreement will be impossible. I think this is good in general, but see #2 above

8. there are no rules remaining to even attempt to maintain competitive balance, besides a number of scholarship limit and number of coaches limit. With NIL, the first is basically eliminated (see byu) and the second is also being eliminated

9. as the article points out, it's pretty difficult to conclude we are not operating a professional football league. How this is part of the University mission is getting harder to say.

10. all of these changes will result in lower revenues and higher expenses to the University, unless these changes result in Cal being in the surviving super league. This will either require higher subsidies from the University or requires cuts in expenses ... some of those cuts will result in cutting teams

11. I could go on, but you can see that I'm not as optimistic as the writer ... but we will see ...

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