11 Comments
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Blondiesandtopdog's avatar

I just want to remind everyone - these group think predictions have been remarkably accurate over the years.

Gobears2's avatar

In spite of everything...at this point, Cal is a slight underdog on Sat..

....Not saying anything earthshaking but it's huge for Cal to win this one. ..

..."came close"or "put up a good fight" is not something Cal needs at this point.

....terrific that this test is coming so soon.

Tim James's avatar

Either we are in for a great season or the hype machine has taken us all for fools. Though some would argue being a Cal Bear loyalist is evidence of same. Regardless, the optimism is refreshing. Don’t deflate the good vibes on Saturday, Bears.

justbearly's avatar

I love the optimism. These last few days before the Cal / UCLA game have been flooded with predictions from knowledgeable sources and many others with maybe not so much knowledge. Busy days, lots of input. We are a bit of an underdog they say. Okeydokey, fine. But now it is time go. Am so looking forward to the kickoff this Saturday night. Exciting times bros, Go Bears!

BTown85's avatar

We only have a 3% chance of finishing with 11 wins…..

So, you’re saying there’s a CHANCE????

Zero likely losses….. OMG, we’re a wonderful bunch of homers…..

Go Bears!!!!

Oski Disciple's avatar

Who are these folks who think we might possibly lose to Wagner? And I also want a word with anyone here who thinks we might drop the Big Game. Come on!

ShanghaiDave93's avatar

Does that 8 win season in the poll include a bowl game?

Berkelium97's avatar

That's 8 regular-season games

Amer's avatar

Great stats. Thanks!

BTown85's avatar

Hey BK97 - Thank you!!!

I love this post every year; more than when we revisit it at the end of the season…… 😬

Can you tell us where the breaks are between Likely Losses, Toss Ups, Lean Cal, etc.? 20, 40, 60, 80 percentiles?

Berkelium97's avatar

Yes, I use those quintiles.

I tend to think of them like this:

80+%: likely Cal win

60-80%: lean Cal win

40-60%: toss-up

20-40%: lean Cal loss

<20%: likely Cal loss